5 Reports

INTC

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Intel’s Make-or-Break Moment: 18A Technology, Competitive Positioning, and the Path to Foundry Leadership

Intel stands at the inflection point of its 56-year history. The 18A process node is either the foundation of a manufacturing renaissance or the final chapter of American semiconductor leadership. We break down the moat reconstruction, Panther Lake's competitive positioning against AMD/QCOM/AVGO, and the $28-$65 valuation scenarios that define this binary bet.
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Intel’s $10 Billion Gamble: Inside the Turnaround That Could Make or Break America’s Last Chip Giant

Intel Corporation (INTC) at $23 represents a high-stakes turnaround bet masked by public optimism but undermined by serious execution problems. Our investigation reveals yield issues far worse than disclosed, customer acquisition challenges, and a CEO potentially preparing for asset sales rather than foundry success .
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NVIDIA: The AI Empire Strikes Back (While Competitors Plot Their Revenge)

NVIDIA continues to dominate the AI revolution with the subtlety of a sledgehammer, posting Q1 FY2026 revenue of $44.1 billion (+69% YoY) while maintaining gross margins that would make luxury handbag companies jealous at 61%. But at $158 vs. our $140 fair value target, the market is pricing in perfection while AMD's MI300 series and hyperscaler custom chips make this game more competitive than ever. Meanwhile, Broadcom quietly captures 20% of AI infrastructure spend as the unsung kingmaker.
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AMD: The Chiplet Revolution Meets AI Reality Check

AMD has pulled off one of tech's greatest comeback stories, transforming from Intel's perpetual runner-up into a legitimate AI and datacenter powerhouse. But here's the thing - after climbing from $10 to $200+ in just five years, and now sitting at fresh highs near $130, the easy money has definitely been made. With the stock up ~10% since June 12th alone, we're clearly in "prove it" territory.