ASML

Tesla: Reality Check at $460 – Energy’s Real, Robotaxi’s Years Away

At $460 per share ($1.48 trillion market cap) trading 225x earnings, Tesla needs flawless execution across automotive margin recovery, energy scaling, and autonomous deployment simultaneously. The probability is low. Also, Tesla just raised lease prices $70/month following expiration of the $7,500 federal tax credit—the first real-world test of demand elasticity without subsidies begins now.

The Magnificent 7 vs. The AI Infrastructure Play

The Magnificent 7 are expensive, cash-burning AI believers trading at 31-40x free cash flow while promising returns that might not materialize. A better bet is the companies selling them the shovels - the AI Infrastructure Compounders 7 (AIC-7), who are generating cash today while the hyperscalers burn through $417 billion this year alone.

NVIDIA Earnings Q2 FY2026: Strong Execution, Full Valuation

NVIDIA delivered record Q2 FY2026 results with $46.7B revenue (+56% YoY) and 72.7% gross margins, meeting elevated expectations. While operational strength is undeniable, the stock appears fully valued at ~41x forward P/E, pricing in sustained 30%+ growth and minimal competitive erosion. The risk/reward profile is finely balanced.

The Silicon Trinity

There is no credible path to semiconductor advancement without these three companies. Every iPhone, NVIDIA GPU, and data center processor exists because ASML, Applied Materials, and KLA permit it to.