Playbook

Playbook
Available Reports
25 Active research reports

When Safe Assets Outperform Risk: The 2025 Portfolio Playbook

For the first time since Y2K, the math has flipped. The 10-year Treasury (~4.23%) now outyields the S&P 500's forward earnings yield (4.15%), creating a negative equity risk premium, a phenomenon we've seen exactly twice in modern history, both preceding significant market resets. But here's the kicker: inflation-protected bonds (TIPS) are paying 1.94% real while equity dividends deliver -1.1% after inflation. Translation: The "risk-free" rate isn't just competitive, it's winning.

SIRI: The Satellite Empire Under Siege – Can Sirius XM Survive the Streaming Wars?

Sirius XM is a cash-generating machine trapped in a millennial's nightmare - stuck between aging Boomers and Tesla-driving Gen-Z'ers who think satellite radio is as outdated as cable TV. Trading at 7.7x EV/EBITDA while Spotify commands 29x, SIRI looks cheap for a reason. But don't count out this wounded warrior just yet.

Enphase Under Siege – Bear Trap or Value Trap?

Enphase Energy remains the undisputed microinverter king with a 50% market share and best-in-class 48.6% margins, but faces mounting competitive threats from Tesla's integrated solutions and a looming policy cliff. With over 20% short interest and analyst targets ranging from $31-$86, ENPH sits at a critical inflection point where the next catalyst could trigger explosive volatility in either direction.