4 Reports

Macro View

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Pricing Pressure to Profit: Amazon’s Strategic Response to Tariffs and Inflation

By investing heavily in regional fulfillment centers in Vietnam, India, and Mexico, Amazon enables merchants to lower tariff burdens and mitigate disruptions from geopolitical tensions. Notably, Amazon has absorbed a meaningful portion of increased shipping and import costs, maintaining competitive marketplace pricing and customer loyalty despite rising operational pressures. Amazon’s proactive strategies also include tariff engineering, enhancing its competitive positioning and resilience.
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U.S. Bond Trends: Economic Outlook (2025–2026) & Stock Market Impact

Treasury auctions reflect cautious investor sentiment, and equity valuations appear historically stretched relative to bonds, with equity risk premiums at near-zero levels. Markets currently assign a 45% probability to a soft landing, but recession risk remains significant at 40%. Investors should pivot defensively, favoring high-quality bonds, select financials, and defensive sectors, closely monitoring yield curves, credit spreads, and inflation signals.
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From AAA to Aa1: How to Pivot Your Portfolio as U.S. Debt Hits $36 Trillion

Moody’s just downgraded America’s AAA credit rating to Aa1, citing a ballooning $36 trillion national debt and interest costs nearing $1 trillion annually. With U.S. Treasury yields spiking past 5%, it's time for strategic shifts—think hedging bonds, pivoting to defensive ETFs, and carefully adding gold (GLD) or crypto as hedges.