3 Reports

Fixed Income

Categories

Fixed Income ETF Portfolio Q3 2025: A Strategic Response to Fed Rate Cuts

The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver 50-75 basis points of cuts through the remainder of 2025, creating a more measured easing cycle than previously anticipated. This portfolio targets a 4.9% SEC yield while maintaining effective duration below 5 years and limiting maximum drawdown to acceptable levels for the adjusted rate environment.
Categories

U.S. Bond Trends: Economic Outlook (2025–2026) & Stock Market Impact

Treasury auctions reflect cautious investor sentiment, and equity valuations appear historically stretched relative to bonds, with equity risk premiums at near-zero levels. Markets currently assign a 45% probability to a soft landing, but recession risk remains significant at 40%. Investors should pivot defensively, favoring high-quality bonds, select financials, and defensive sectors, closely monitoring yield curves, credit spreads, and inflation signals.
Categories

From AAA to Aa1: How to Pivot Your Portfolio as U.S. Debt Hits $36 Trillion

Moody’s just downgraded America’s AAA credit rating to Aa1, citing a ballooning $36 trillion national debt and interest costs nearing $1 trillion annually. With U.S. Treasury yields spiking past 5%, it's time for strategic shifts—think hedging bonds, pivoting to defensive ETFs, and carefully adding gold (GLD) or crypto as hedges.