5 Reports

Crypto & Blockchain

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The Crypto-Brokerage Convergence Trade: COIN vs HOOD in 2025

Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) are converging on the same endgame—becoming the everything exchange for the next generation—but they're coming from opposite directions. And right now, the market has this completely backwards. COIN trades at 32x forward EBITDA while HOOD commands a princely 53x. That's a 40% valuation gap that makes zero sense when you dig into the fundamentals. We're looking at a masterclass in market inefficiency.
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Crypto Market at the Crossroads: $4 Trillion Valuation Under Regulatory Revolution

The crypto market’s historic $4 trillion valuation following landmark regulatory wins masks dangerous technical deterioration and systemic overvaluation. While the GENIUS Act creates legitimate institutional adoption pathways, Bitcoin’s 0.5 correlation with the S&P 500 and 70% wash trading on unregulated exchanges signal 30-50% correction risk that could bring total market cap back to $2 trillion levels.
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MicroStrategy: The $113B Bitcoin House of Cards

MicroStrategy (now "Strategy") has essentially become a leveraged Bitcoin ETF disguised as a software company. While this strategy has delivered astronomical returns (3,130% since 2020), the company now trades at dangerous premium levels with mounting legal challenges, declining software revenues, and extreme volatility risk that would make a crypto trader blush.
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Robinhood: When the Sheriff of Nottingham Becomes the Outlaw

Robinhood's 163% YTD rally to $100 on tokenization hype has pushed the market cap to over $85 billion with a forward P/E of 76.5x. You're now paying more for HOOD than you would for many S&P 500 companies—for a firm that just settled $45M in SEC violations while launching fake crypto tokens that even OpenAI disavows.
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From AAA to Aa1: How to Pivot Your Portfolio as U.S. Debt Hits $36 Trillion

Moody’s just downgraded America’s AAA credit rating to Aa1, citing a ballooning $36 trillion national debt and interest costs nearing $1 trillion annually. With U.S. Treasury yields spiking past 5%, it's time for strategic shifts—think hedging bonds, pivoting to defensive ETFs, and carefully adding gold (GLD) or crypto as hedges.